Several weeks ago I drew some comparisons between the energy
needs of every day devices and the capability of a typical cyclist in “Watts in a Kilojoule.” I received much public and private feedback on that post. I’d
like to expand on one of the themes in that post.
A couple of astute readers pointed out carelessness in my
analysis. I compared energy needs of cars powered by internal combustion
engines to fully electric vehicles on a one-to-one basis. This led me to
overestimate the demands that would be put on our power grid if all vehicles on
the road were converted to 100% electric. I've spent 10yrs of my career working
with battery powered electric vehicles, so I should not have been so careless.
Guess I tried to keep things simple, thinking nobody would notice.
Internal combustion engines are only about 20% efficient,
interestingly, about the same as a trained cyclist. This means 80% of the
consumed energy is wasted as heat. This is why cars have big radiators and
humans sweat. An electric car, on the other hand, is about 80% efficient. Only
20% is wasted as heat. Grid to wheels isn't quite this good though, as charging
the battery after each drive wastes energy in the form of heat in the charging
equipment and the battery itself. Grid to wheels efficiency is closer to 60%.
But still, this is three times more efficient than gas engines.
If all vehicles were converted to electric, we’d only need
to build 200 new nuclear power plants, not 600 as I originally surmised. That’s
only four nuke reactors per state. Relieved now? Note I’m not anti-nuclear, I’m
actually strongly in favor of this form of energy over coal or foreign oil. I
suspect many readers are not keen on nuclear power. My point here is to show
the magnitude of how much energy it takes to power our mobile lifestyle.
I also pointed out previously that if we chose a renewable
biofuel path to reduce CO2 emissions, we didn't have enough farmland to power
our needs and would have nothing left to eat if we tried. I’d like to expand on
this point a good deal further.
I don’t have anything against limited biofuel use. I know a
couple people who run biodiesel in their cars. A teammate uses unprocessed
McDonalds oil in his car. Smells like French-fries! Using biofuel that might
otherwise be wasted is a brilliant and noble thing to do. I do, however, have a
problem with large-scale biofuel production. There are ethical challenges here,
in that our “need” to drive 2000kg SUVs around impacts world food supply when
increasing percentages of the fuel we burn is mandated to come from food crops. The whole
biofuel industry in this country is mired in politics at its ugliest. But I don’t
want to, nor need to go into the messy side of biofuels here. It is much easier to show that biofuel production is very inefficient use of land.
Let’s take a step back and look at the bigger scene here. Fossil fuels are
hundreds of millions of years old. These hydrocarbons were created with energy
from the sun. It takes some energy to extract and refine crude oil, but over
90% of the energy extracted from the ground is made available in the various distillation
products. Crude oil has very high energy density, and eons of solar energy are stored
up in it (along with carbon that used to be in the air, topic for another post).
When we grow a crop with the intent of turning it into
biofuel, what do you think the net efficiency is? 50%? 10%? 1%? You will be
surprised. Many crops grown for biofuel are once a year harvest in the US. A
good part of the year, like in winter, the land is unproductive and producing
no energy. Even during most of the growing season, the plant is capturing solar
energy to build the infrastructure to produce the fruit that is harvested to be
fermented or pressed for oil.
Photosynthesis has a peak efficiency of about 6%. This is
the process in the leaf itself, not a measure of all the sunlight illuminating
a field. This is not likely to improve dramatically anytime soon with genetic
engineering. Photosynthesis uses only a portion of the Sun’s spectrum, and not
all of the energy that is absorbed is retained.
This already puts a pretty pessimistic upper bound on biofuel
efficiency. The average efficiency of photosynthesis over a course of a year is
no more 0.6%. This is total energy the plant captured from available sunlight.
With current biofuel processes to make fuel for cars, we must next make ethanol
or biodiesel. Only certain parts of the plant are useful for this. You can’t
press oil out of cellulose, where some of the plants energy is stored. The
efficiency now drops to less than 0.1%! This doesn't even factor in that a lot
of outside energy must be put into this process to till the land, produce the
fertilizers, and ferment or press the grain. (see Michel and ARPA-E for
references)
Ok, so far we've learned that biofuels can at best capture 1
Joule out of every 1000 Joules of energy from the sun. Since this is a liquid
biofuel, it will be burned by a combustion engine with about 20% efficiency.
That 0.1% just dropped to 0.02% for a Sun to wheels efficiency. See how absurd
this is getting?
So here’s where I’m going with this. State of the art photovoltaics
can now convert about 30% of the Sun’s energy directly into electricity.
Theoretical peak efficiency is about 66%, but we are still a ways away from
that. The beauty with PVs is this. The energy is already in a form that can
immediately be fed across the country with negligible additional processing or
loss. Using the 60% grid-to-wheels efficiency established earlier for electric
cars, photovoltaics gives 18% Sun to wheels efficiency. This is 900x more
efficient than biofuel for combustion cars! Right now, today, you can get 900
times more energy from an acre of solar cells than you can from an acre of biofuel
crop over the course of a year. Further, you can use unproductive land for photovoltaics. No farmland for
gas tanks is needed at all.
Now some biofuel proponents may find this troubling. Even if
these estimates are off by a factor of 10, or if we suddenly engineer a new
biofuel plant that doesn't go viral and consume the planet, harnessing energy
from the sun with photovoltaics will still be far more efficient from a land
use perspective than growing crops.
The big problem with photovoltaics today is they are
expensive to produce. They can’t compete with cheap oil and coal on a large
scale. Payback periods are very long. I
believe we must end mandates and subsidies for biofuels and redouble our
efforts on direct electricity production form the sun. If there ever was a need
for government funded research or subsidies, solar energy and battery storage technology are it.
9 comments:
Another great post, Doug. When does the campaign for office begin? Hill Junkie for president!
Usually I view reading your blog as a guilty pleasure -- my time would probably be better spent reading up on blogs of a more scientific bent. So I just wanted to thank you for posting this (and the earlier blog post on the same topic) because now I can strike the "guilty" from "guilty pleasure". Excellent explanation on efficiency of energy sources (perhaps one more post though focusing on how eliminating energy waste (e.g. all of the heat that escapes an un-insulated house) and over-usage is the ultimate form of energy efficiency?)
You can add the issues topsoil and aquifier depletion to the problems with creating bio fuels - especially in the case of corn. Neither one is a trivial matter and are already real problems with agriculture in this country. Good read.
Impressive. Next I want to see an analysis of how much latent energy is stored in our country's ever expanding waist lines and fat a$$es.
Then how would that compare from an efficiency standpoint if we put everyone on a bike vs. your solar proposal?
Seriously, how much "excess" cellulite energy is stored in this country. Harness that and we could put the middle east out of business.
Slow Cyclist... this is not exactly what you are talking about, but talks to the affect of overeating:
http://www.fastcoexist.com/1680045/fat-humans-are-the-equivalent-of-an-extra-half-billion-people-on-earth
The entire mess requires prioritization. Starting with mechanical efficiency. The Corbin Sparrow, VW 1L, Aptera and so on are on my wish list - the wish list of "yo, get over your fear of getting runned over - improve your driving skills and do it!" As it stands - the aircraft industry is experimenting with algae borne bio-fuel. As most of us who obsess about efficiency and transportation know, it comes down to energy density. I say diversify the entire transport portfolio with efficiency first and then cater some of this wildy inefficient bio-muck for the few applications that have few alternatives.
Slow - I did a quick "back of the envelope" calculation. Say 300,000,000 Americans are 10# overweight on average. This represents 44TJ (terajoules) of stored energy. Sounds like a lot, and it would be if it powered bicycle commuting. But gasoline has 1420 times more energy than fat pound-for-pound. Thus if your fat were gas storage you could ride more than a thousand times further on reserves. Gas is incredibly energy dense, that is why we use it in energy hogs called cars. Good suggestion. I may expand on this in a future post.
Alby - I had to investigate these energy sipping cars. Carbon fiber wheels and titanium hubs? Now we're talking! People say there are conspiracies to keep this technology off the market. I can remember hearing this during the 1970's energy crisis. Generally, I don't subscribe to conspiracy theories. If there was a demand for efficient cars, somebody would find a way to profit from it. You're right, phobia's, conspicuous consumption, creature comfort (big people need big vehicles, you know) all squeeze out any chance for sensible transportation.
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